Mutual funds & index investing are dead. How many more decades can you go with either no or negative performance? The Fed, politicians & Social Security are no solution. There is an alternative. Trend following trading systems have produced above average returns in stocks, futures, currencies, LEAPsĀ®, ETFs & commodities in both bull and bear markets for decades. We teach trend following systems designed to deliver the chance for all traders in all countries to make out-sized market profits with a systematic & non-emotional plan of attack.


Watch free trend
following video now.

Free email newsletter:

16,000+ readers for 10+ years.


Trend Following System Course

Archive for March, 2007

Michael Covel Correction

While I do not act as a fund manager for clients, I am a full-time entrepreneur who takes on healthy risks daily. My career earnings have come from business ventures, real estate, investing with traders and trading.

Larry Williams Opines

I caught a review of TurtleTrader recently from Larry Williams. In part it said:

“Long story to this website; mostly negative, vile stuff about people that is not correct, and sets themselves out as the savior…Where is their heart? This is not how good thinking people treat others. There are many ways to make a good cup of market soup.. some like it hot, some like it cold, some like it in the pot, nine days old.”

Controversial, tough, opinionated, passionate is my goal. I would be curious as to the exact “vile” parts of my websites. I do thank Larry for taking the time to give free press.

Turtle Religion

One of the more interesting aspects of the Turtles involved the differing religions of those involved in the process. From a relapsed Catholic to Christian to Jewish to a Jehovah’s Witness - the Turtles and everyone involved in the process were a melting pot of personalities and beliefs all unified under Dennis’ will. Is there any one religion that worked out better? There is no evidence to draw any conclusion there.

Despite

I met with an old pro trader yesterday in his NYC office. He runs one of the largest clearing firms on the NYMEX. He has his unique way of doing things and clearly is not a trend follower. That said, his concern about knowing how to take losses properly echoed the wisdom of Wall Street’s great trend traders. His most interesting comment was about the word “despite”. He loved to see the word. For example, if you see the talking heads saying, “Despite bad news Apple stock went higher”, he would view that as an opportunity to go long even more. Conversely, if he saw “despite good news, Apple went lower”, he would go short. He wasn’t trying to preach fundamentals or “news” reading, but just wanted to pass along his insights from the last 20 years. Sure, it was short and simple wisdom, but then again most good Wall Street wisdom is that way, the hard part as he reminded me is the execution.

Rich Dad Misses the Price Point

An excerpt from a recent Rich Dad Poor Dad column by Robert Kiyosaki:

So how can I say that the market is crashing even if it continues to go up? To see the true crash, educated investors need to compare apples to oranges, not apples to apples. When you compare the Dow to the Dow, or the S&P 500 to the S&P 500, that’s comparing apples to apples. The Dow at 12,000 appears better than the Dow at 9,000, just as an apple at $1 a pound looks better than at $1.50 a pound, even though it’s still the same apple. All that’s happened is the price per pound of the apple has gone up — the apple hasn’t changed. Years ago, my rich dad taught me to be a comparison shopper, especially when it comes to investments. He said, “You need to understand value more than price. Just because the price of something goes up doesn’t necessarily mean the value has gone up.” He also told me, “If prices go up without a corresponding increase in value, it means the value of the asset has actually gone down.” This holds true for all assets, including stocks, bonds, and real estate. For example, when the price of a house goes up it doesn’t mean that the house is more valuable. And prices going up may mean that something else is going down in value. In today’s global markets, what’s going down is the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar.

He is right: price going up doesn’t mean value is going up. But does it matter? If you have a strategy predicated on riding price increases (long for profit) and riding price decreases (short for profit), why then does it matter if you are able to discern the elusive “value” or not?

Interview?

If you live in the Washington, DC Metro area and would like to be interviewed (on film) about the subjects I write about, drop me a line. I have found that question and answer formats work much better than standing in front of the camera preaching, hence my desire to get others involved.

Beta & Alpha

From ‘Professional Adviser’ comes an article titled ‘Taking a Bet?’. An excerpt:

“A traditional investor invests on the basis of expectation and hope. The expectation is that they will enjoy the market return (Beta) and the hope is that their manager will produce something on top of that (Alpha). The problem is that Beta is now commoditised, and can be accessed for as little as 0.2% annually. Consider this in the context of a typical active long only manager where 90% of returns are derived from market exposure (Beta). That means the client is paying 1% annual management fees yet receives only 10% potential Alpha. That translates into an overpayment of Beta of somewhere in the order of four and half times.”

Without the jargon this means what? Billions are being paid in fees to mutual funds to deliver something that is basically free now. Article (PDF).

2007 State Street Hedge Fund Research Study

A study (PDF) from State Street about hedge funds.

facebook   twitter   linkedin   youtube   apple podcasts   rss

Trend Following Systems

Clients 70+ countries: more info

Trend Following by Covel

1st Bestseller: select | reviews

'Broke' Covel's Film

Documentary (DVD): select

TurtleTrader by Covel

2nd Bestseller: select | reviews

Seminars and Consulting

In-person instruction: more info



Affiliate Sign-up

Revenue sharing: more info

Fund Managers

Covel Interviews: more info

Sponsorships

Advertising options: more info



-->

Market Wizard Interviews


  • Jim Rogers on the Fed con.

  • Market Wizard Larry Hite discusses dating odds.

  • Poker pro Howard Lederer on poker & trading the markets.

  • Trader Salem Abraham talks about the unexpected.

  • Michael Covel speaks in Brazil.