Here we are in the middle of an economic sh** storm. Bad stuff. And in the face of that the current administration is backing massive tax increases. Oh sure, I have heard the pitch, higher taxes are only for the “rich” guy. The plan will test once and for all the notion of “trickle down” because the President believes that taxing upper income earners will have no affect on anyone else. It will all be a surgical strike to take from the evil richies and give to those less fortunate. And we all know that the richies faced with less money will of course keep spending the same amount before having their pockets picked. Are there academics who actually have papers backing this crazy plan? This whole script plays out over an economy that everyone is calling a Depression. Ladies and gentlemen, the unintended consequences have been set in motion. Let’s see where the dice land.
Archive for February, 2009
Jim Calhoun and Envy Politics
Posted in Not Wall Street | 9 Comments | Saturday, February 28th, 2009
Watch video:
Now the debate: Watch video.
If you don’t like him personally, sure go ahead. But this is just another example of creeping socialism and “feel good” politics.
Berkshire Hathaway 2008 Shareholder Letter
Posted in Economics | 11 Comments | Saturday, February 28th, 2009
Read (PDF). Excerpt:
As the year progressed, a series of life-threatening problems within many of the world’s great financial institutions was unveiled. This led to a dysfunctional credit market that in important respects soon turned non-functional. The watchword throughout the country became the creed I saw on restaurant walls when I was young: ‘In God we trust; all others pay cash.’ By the fourth quarter, the credit crisis, coupled with tumbling home and stock prices, had produced a paralyzing fear that engulfed the country. A freefall in business activity ensued, accelerating at a pace that I have never before witnessed. The U.S. – and much of the world – became trapped in a vicious negative-feedback cycle. Fear led to business contraction, and that in turn led to even greater fear. This debilitating spiral has spurred our government to take massive action. In poker terms, the Treasury and the Fed have gone ‘all in.’ Economic medicine that was previously meted out by the cupful has recently been dispensed by the barrel. These once-unthinkable dosages will almost certainly bring on unwelcome aftereffects. Their precise nature is anyone’s guess, though one likely consequence is an onslaught of inflation. Moreover, major industries have become dependent on Federal assistance, and they will be followed by cities and states bearing mind-boggling requests. Weaning these entities from the public teat will be a political challenge. They won’t leave willingly.
“Economy Moving in Reverse Faster Than Predicted”
Posted in Economics | 1 Comment | Saturday, February 28th, 2009
From the AP comes this article titled “Economy moving in reverse faster than predicted“:
WASHINGTON (AP) — The economy is moving in reverse faster than the government can measure. The contraction for the fourth quarter of 2008 had been estimated at 3.8 percent just a month ago. Then the Commerce Department raised it to an astonishing 6.2 percent Friday — the largest revision since the government started keeping records in 1976. That was the economy’s worst showing in a quarter-century and raised the prospect that the nation could suffer its worst year since 1946.
You think a majority will ever understand that the so-called people in power have never had the ability to predict anything? How is it that so many have this need to believe in “predictions”? How can any thinking person believe that they can predict what comes during the meltdown when they could not predict the meltdown?!
That Lady with the Russian Accent Has Some Insights
Posted in Economics | 19 Comments | Saturday, February 28th, 2009
Milton Friedman on Limited Government
Posted in Economics | 1 Comment | Saturday, February 28th, 2009
We Are Getting Closer
Posted in Psychology | 2 Comments | Friday, February 27th, 2009
I know some thought this film was a perfect fit for the Bush administration. Correction. “V” is for right now too. In the years to come we will find out how obedient we have all become:
Obama Proof
Posted in Holy Grails | 2 Comments | Friday, February 27th, 2009
I just heard Cramer say that his goal starting today is to “Obama-proof” (like bomb-proof) his viewers’ portfolios. Before the election last fall he said:
What will New York look like a year from now? The answer: bad and probably worse, and perhaps downright catastrophic. Three degrees of awful. The first step was passing the bank-bailout legislation. Now that its doneand if it didn’t get done we would have been looking at a guaranteed economic collapse…the critical issue will be presidential leadership. And while any president will be an improvement over the current one, there is a growing belief on Wall Street that Barack Obama has the capacity to lead us out of this wilderness while John McCain does not. I’ll go a step further: Obama is a recession. McCain is a depression.
Cramer is a smart guy. Knows a lot. But how do you know the 5 questions when listening to him:
1. How do you determine what market to buy or sell at any time?
2. How much of a market should you buy or sell at any time?
3. How do you determine when you enter a market?
4. How do you determine when you exit a losing position?
5. How do you determine when you exit a winning position?
How Does Retirement Look?
Posted in Trading 101 | No Comments | Friday, February 27th, 2009
Does anyone know what the CNBC retirement plan looks like? Do CNBC employees catch a break if they own GE stock (parent of CNBC)? Meaning does GE match purchases of its stock by employees?
So How Does it Feel to Own Citi Now?
Posted in Economics | 9 Comments | Friday, February 27th, 2009

We all own this dog Citi now. Even if you did not want it the Feds decided Citi was good for our retirement accounts. In the Socialist States of America we are now forced to own stocks that we would otherwise never purchase. Guess what I am doing this Friday night? I am going shopping for my new uniform…it has a little green and a little red. Why fight ‘em? I am joining them!
Down is the New Up
Posted in Holy Grails | 6 Comments | Friday, February 27th, 2009
I just heard Maria Bartiromo declare that “down is the new up” in describing today’s equity market action (down at the time she said it; 315pm). That is a clip I wish I had in my film!
Janus Global Technology: Those Were the Days!
Posted in Holy Grails | 2 Comments | Friday, February 27th, 2009
My post here on mutual fund fees brought this feedback:
Mutual funds can be a profitable investment or an unprofitable investment, their performance relies mostly on overall stock market performance and of managers who try and beat the market averages. Some mangers succeed in this and others do not. My experience from doing research (’90s) in this area, showed that loaded funds out-performed free funds. My last mutual fund investment was in ’99 and the manager of Janus Global Technology returned a gain of 215.5% to his investors. I have continued to profit every year by purchasing individual stocks at bargain prices.
1. That first sentence makes no sense. Maybe I am an idiot, but what does that mean?
2. Janus Global Technology? The data. You must be like Rip Van Winkle? Asleep for 10 years fondly remembering the dot-com bubble!
3. That last sentence is straight out of Warren Buffett’s playbook. He has not profited every year, so how have you? You are saying that over the last 14 months you have profited by picking “individual stocks at bargain prices”? Does that mean you got out at the highs of Dow 14000+?




























