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Archive for March, 2009

An Amazing Bubble

Posted in Economics | 1 Comment | Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

It is amazing how much real estate has melted down. I wonder over the next 20 years what these declines will really mean? Will people vacate some suburbs? Will they eventually move closer to large population areas? Could this meltdown be the return of the big city? On the other hand, with New York set to raises taxes to crazy levels, could we see some cities shrink in size?

Big Brother Offers Hugs: Getting Through Tough Economic Times

Posted in Psychology | 2 Comments | Monday, March 30th, 2009

The psychology of money is critical. I am just not so sure the government should be the shrink.

Soros: “The Recession Will Last Forever”

Posted in Economics | 10 Comments | Monday, March 30th, 2009

The headline “Soros: The Recession Will Last Forever” (article) caught my attention. Soros is a smart guy. He has made a lot of money. Will his prediction shake out? I have no clue, but I really don’t think he can predict the future either. An excerpt:

If the G20 is nothing but a talking shop then he thinks we are heading for meltdown. “That could push the world into depression. It’s really a make-or-break occasion. That’s why it’s so important.” The chances of a depression are, he says, “quite high” - even if that is averted, the recession will last a long time. “Look, we are not going back to where we came from. In that sense it’s going to last for ever..”

You never want to hear one of the greatest traders, regardless whether you like his politics or not, talk like that.

Global Bank Trends

Posted in Economics | No Comments | Monday, March 30th, 2009

Read.

America Unravels

Posted in Economics | 1 Comment | Monday, March 30th, 2009

As America unravels our new technology will capture it all:

Trend Following Correlations

Posted in Trend Following | 5 Comments | Sunday, March 29th, 2009

Chart.

The Quiet Coup

Posted in Economics | 6 Comments | Saturday, March 28th, 2009

An excerpt from “The Quiet Coup“:

But there’s a deeper and more disturbing similarity: elite business interests–financiers, in the case of the U.S.–played a central role in creating the crisis, making ever-larger gambles, with the implicit backing of the government, until the inevitable collapse. More alarming, they are now using their influence to prevent precisely the sorts of reforms that are needed, and fast, to pull the economy out of its nosedive. The government seems helpless, or unwilling, to act against them.

Source: http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200905/imf-advice

Maybe, Maybe Not

Posted in Trading 101 | 2 Comments | Saturday, March 28th, 2009

You can read the analysis, and it never stops, but how is it more important than the simple trend?

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