Black Swan
So was the black swan the Giants win or the Patriots undefeated record until the Giants win?
Archive for the ‘Statistical Thinking’ Category
Super Bowl Strategy
With Super Bowl Sunday festivities ready to kick off, investors looking for a sure bet would be wise to watch the commercials. Buying the stock of publicly traded companies that run advertisements on game day has historically been a recipe for success, say researchers at the University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire. Sure bet?
Houston’s G.M. Is a Revolutionary Spirit in a Risk-Averse Mind
Another numbers guy takes the lead.
Economics of Recruiting
A new way to predict where top prospects will end up. Interesting research.
Food for Psych Thought
Just how representative are the people who volunteer for psychology experiments? Interesting.
Fat Tails and Nonlinearity
Food for thought (PDF) from Legg Mason’s Michael Mauboussin.
The Median Isn’t the Message by Stephen Jay Gould
A conversation about a friend’s cancer came up today. I immediately thought of a chapter in Stephen Jay Gould’s book “Full House”. A quick search brought up the relevant passage. Of course, that “way” of thinking applies to all aspects of life.
Jim Simons Keeps Pushing
Perhaps the greatest example for viewing the markets as numbers is Jim Simons.
College Football Polls Aren’t What You Think
An interesting read that gets one into “numbers”.
